Prof. Dr. Markus Pauly


Research Interest:

  • Asymptotic and Nonparametric Statistics with applications.
  • Multivariate and Repeated Measurements Analysis
  • Resampling Techniques in Theory and Practice
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Series Analysis

Brief CV:

  • since 10/2014 Professor of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Economics, University of Ulm
  • 06/2013 Habilitation in Mathematics, Mathematical Institute, University of Duesseldorf
  • 04/2010 - 03/2011 Perception of a DAAD research fellowship, Institute for Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern.
  • 12/2008- Graduation Dr. rer. nat.,  Mathematical Institute, University of Duesseldorf
  • 10/2005 - 03/2010 and 03/2011-09/2014 Scientist at the Mathematical Institute, University of Duesseldorf
  • 09/2005 Diploma in Mathematics, University of Duesseldorf



  1. Feifel, J, Genz, M, and Pauly, M (2018). The Myth of Immortality: An Analysis of the Maximum Lifespan of US Females.
  2. Dobler, D, Pauly, M and Scheike, T (2018). Wild Bootstrap based Confidence Bands for Multiplicative Hazards Models. (arxiv:1808.00242)
  3. Allignol, A, Königsbauer, F, and Pauly, M (2018). The Effect of Left-Truncation on the Coverage of Confidence Intervals for Pregnancy Outcome Probabilities.
  4. Cong, C, Pauly, M and Konietschke, F (2018). The Behrens-Fisher Problem with Covariates and Baseline Adjustments. (arXiv:1808.08986)
  5. Ramosaj, B, Amro, L and Pauly, M (2018). A cautionary tale on using imputation methods for inference in matched pairs design (arXiv:1806.06551).
  6. Amro, L, Konietschke, F and Pauly, M (2018). Multiplication-Combination Tests for Incomplete Paired Data. (arXiv:1801.08821v1)
  7. Brunner, E, Konietschke, F, Bathke, A and Pauly, M (2018). Ranks and Pseudo-Ranks - Paradoxical Results of Rank-Tests. (arXiv:1802.05650)
  8. Friedrich, S, Konietschke, F and Pauly, M (2018). Analysis of Multivariate Data and Repeated Measures Designs with the R Package MANOVA.RM. (arXiv:1801.08002)
  9. Dobler, D, Friedrich, S and Pauly, M (2018). Nonparametric MANOVA in Mann-Whitney effects. (arXiv:1712.06983)


  1. Dobler, D and Pauly, M (2019). Factorial Analyses of Treatment Effects under Independent Right-Censoring. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, to appear (see arXiv:1807.10678 for a preliminary version).
  2. Ditzhaus, M and Pauly, M (2019). Wild bootstrap logrank tests with broader power functions for testing superiority. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, to appear.
  3. Zimmermann, G, Pauly, M and Bathke, A.C. (2018). Small-sample performance and underlying assumptions of a bootstrap-based inference method for a general analysis of covariance model with possibly heteroskedastic and nonnormal errors. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, to appear (see arXiv:1709.08031 for a preliminary version).
  4. Konietschke, F, Friede, T, and Pauly, M (2018). Analysis of over-dispersed count data with varying follow-up times: Asymptotic theory and small sample approximations. Biometrical Journal, to appear. DOI: 10.1002/bimj.201800027
  5. Umlauft, M, Placzek, M, Konietschke, F, and Pauly, M (2018). Wild Bootstrapping Rank-Based Procedures: Multiple Testing in Nonparametric Split-Plot Designs. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, to appear (see arXiv:1710.04532 for a preliminary version).
  6. Sattler, P and Pauly, M (2018). Inference For High-Dimensional Split-Plot-Designs: A Unified Approach for Small to Large Numbers of Factor Levels. Electronic Journal of Statistics 12, 2743-2805.
  7. Pauly, M and Welz, T (2018). Contribution to the discussion of "When should meta-analysis avoid making hidden normality assumptions?". Biometrical Journal, to appear.
  8. Pauly, M, Umlauft, M and Ünlü, A (2018). Resampling-based inference methods for comparing two coefficient alpha. Psychometrika 83, 203–222.
  9. König, A, Ramo-Fernandez, L, Boeck, C, Umlauft, M, Pauly, M, Binder, EB, Kirschbaum, C, Karabatsiakis, A und Kolassa, I-T (2018). Intergenerational gene × environment interaction of FKBP5 and childhood maltreatment on hair steroids Psychoneuroendocrinology 92, 103–112.
  10. Gerke,J, König, A, Conrad, D, Doyen-Waldecker, C, Pauly, M, Gündel, H, Wilker, S und Kolassa, I-T (2018). Childhood Maltreatment as Risk Factor for Lifetime Depression: The Role of Different Types of Experiences and Sensitive Periods. Mental Health & Prevention 10, 56-65.
  11. Bathke, A, Friedrich, S, Konietschke, F, Pauly, M, Staffen, W, Strobl, N and Höller, Y (2018). Testing Mean Differences among Groups: Multivariate and Repeated Measures Analysis with Minimal Assumptions. Multivariate Behavorial Research 53(3), 348-359.
  12. Bluhmki, T, Dobler, D, Beyersmann, J and Pauly, M (2018). The Wild Bootstrap for Multivariate Nelson-Aalen Estimators. Lifetime Data Analysis 25, 97-127.
  13. Friedrich, S and Pauly, M (2018). MATS: Inference for potentially Singular and Heteroscedastic MANOVA. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 165, 166-179.
  14. Bluhmki, T, Schmoor, C, Dobler, D, Pauly, M, Finke, J, Schumacher, M and Beyersmann, J (2018). A Wild Bootstrap Approach for the Aalen-Johansen Estimate in Multistate Models. Biometrics 74, 977-985
  15. Dobler, D and Pauly, M (2018). Bootstrap- and permutation-based Inference for the Mann-Whitney Effect for Right-Censored and Tied Data. TEST, to appear. DOI: 10.1007/s11749-017-0565-z
  16. Dobler, D, Beyersmann, J and Pauly, M (2017). Non-strange Weird Resampling for Complex Survival Data.  Biometrika 104, 699–711.
  17. Beruscha, F, Krautter, W, Lahmer, A and Pauly, M (2017). An Evaluation of the Influence of Haptic Cues on Gaze Behavior during In-Car Interaction with Touch Screens. Proceedings of the IEEE World Haptics 2017.
  18. Umlauft, Maria, Konietschke, Frank and Pauly, Markus (2017). Rank-based permutation approaches for nonparametric designs. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology 70, 368-390.
  19. Brunner, Edgar, Konietschke, Frank, Pauly, Markus and Puri, Madan L. (2017). Rank-Based Procedures in Factorial Designs: Hypotheses for Nonparametric Treatment Effects. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society - Series B: 79, 1463–1485.
  20. Dobler, D and Pauly, M (2017). Approximate Tests for the Equality of Two Cumulative Incidence Functions of a Competing Risk. Statistics 51, 1238-1258.
  21. Friedrich, Sarah, Brunner, Edgar and Pauly, Markus (2017). Permuting longitudinal data in spite of the dependencies. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 153, 255-265.
  22. Amro, Lubna and Pauly, Markus (2017). Permuting Incomplete Paired Data: A Novel Exact and Asymptotic Correct Randomization Test. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 87, 1148-1159.
  23. Friedrich, Sarah, Konietschke, Frank and Pauly, Markus (2017). A Wild Bootstrap Approach for Nonparametric Repeated Measurements. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 113, 38-52.
  24. Friedrich, Sarah, Konietschke, Frank and Pauly, Markus (2017). GFD: An R-package for the Analysis of General Factorial Designs - along with a Graphical User Interface. Journal of Statistical Software 79, 1-18.
  25. Pauly, Markus, Asendorf, Thomas, and Konietschke, Frank (2016). Permutation-based inference for the AUC: A unified approach for continuous and discontinuous data. Biometrical Journal 58, 1319-1337
  26. Dickhaus, Thorsten and Pauly, Markus (2016). Simultaneous Statistical Inference in Dynamic Factor Models. In: I. Rojas, H. Pomares (eds.), Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Contributions to Statistics, 27-45. (also: Proceedings of the ITISE 2015, 143-160.)
  27. Konietschke, Frank, Bathke, Arne C., Harrar, Solomon W. and Pauly, Markus (2015). Parametric and Nonparametric Bootstrap Methods for General MANOVA.  Journal of Multivariate Analysis 140, 291–301.
  28. Pauly, Markus Ellenberger, David and Brunner, Edgar (2015). Analysis of High-Dimensional One Group Repeated Measures Designs. Statistics 49, 1243-1261. 
  29. Jentsch, Carsten and Pauly, Markus (2015). Testing equality of spectral densities using randomisation techniques. Bernoulli 21, 697–739.
  30. Dümbgen, Lutz, Pauly, Markus and Schweizer, Thomas (2015). M-Functionals of Multivariate Scatter. Statistics Surveys 9, 32-105.
  31. Pauly, Markus, Brunner, Edgar and Konietschke, Frank (2015). Asymptotic Permutation Tests in General Factorial Designs. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society - Series B 77, 461-473.
  32. Dobler, Dennis and Pauly, Markus (2014). Bootstrapping Aalen-Johansen Processes for Competing Risks: Handicaps, Solutions and Limitations. Electron. J. Statist. 8, 2779-2803.
  33. Konietschke, Frank and Pauly, Markus (2014). Bootstrapping and Permuting paired t-test type statistics. Statistics and Computing, 24, p. 283 - 296.
  34. Brendel, Michael, Janssen, Arnold, Mayer, Claus-Dieter, and Pauly, Markus (2014). Weighted logrank permutation tests for randomly right censored life science data. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 41, 742-761.
  35. del Barrio, Eustasio, Janssen, Arnold, and Pauly, Markus (2013). The m(n) out of k(n) bootstrap for partial sums of St. Petersburg type games. Electronic Communications in Probability 18, No. 91, 1-10.
  36. Janssen, Arnold and Pauly, Markus (2013). The influence of sequential extremal processes on the partial sum process. Extremes, 16, p. 19 - 54.
  37. Beyersmann, Jan, di Termini, Susanna, and Pauly, Markus (2013). The wild bootstrap for the Aalen-Johansen estimator of the cumulative incidence function of a competing risk. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 40, p. 387-402.
  38. Konietschke, Frank and Pauly, Markus (2012). A studentized permutation test for the non-parametric Behrens-Fisher problem in paired data. Electron. J. Stat., 6, p. 1358 - 1372.
  39. Omelka, Marek and Pauly, Markus (2012). Testing equality of correlation coefficients in an potentially unbalanced two-sample problem via permutation methods. J. Stat. Plan. Inf., 142 p. 1396 - 1406.
  40. Jentsch, Carsten and Pauly, Markus (2012). A note on using periodogram-based distances for comparing spectral densities. Stat. Prob. Lett., 82, p. 158 - 164.
  41. Pauly, Markus (2012). Consistency of the Subsample Bootstrap empirical process. Statistics, 46, p. 621 - 626.
  42. Pauly, Markus (2011). Weighted resampling of martingale difference arrays with applications. Electron. J. Stat., 5 p. 41 - 52.
  43. Barczyk, Adam, Janssen, Arnold, and Pauly, Markus (2011). The asymptotics of L-statistics for non I.I.D. variables with heavy tails. Probab. Math. Statist., 31, p. 285 - 299.
  44. Pauly, Markus (2011). Discussion about the quality of F-ratio resampling tests for comparing variances. TEST, 20, p. 163 - 179.
  45. Janssen, Arnold and Pauly, Markus: Asymptotics and effectiveness of conditional tests with applications to randomization tests. Technical Report, University of Duesseldorf, (2009)


Current Projects:

  • “Classification of big and high-dimensional data", funded by Daimler AG

Former Projects:



Ulm University
Institute of Statistics
Helmholtzstr. 20 (Room E.43)
89081 Ulm


Phone: (+49) 731/ 50 33105
E-Mail: markus.pauly(at)
Office Hour: On appointment via e-mail : - )